Construct · 1 fields · 1 citations

superforecasting: a standalone construct

One name. One construct. A landmark on the map.

● anchor · a standalone construct Nearest construct by meaning·not indexed
superforecasting1 CONSTRUCTSuperforecastingMELLERS · FORECASTING

A single standalone construct; nearby constructs are located against it in the Collider. Tap a field for its definition, unit, and measures.

Forecasting

the consistently accurate probability judgments of a small group of forecasters identified in geopolitical forecasting tournaments.

In forecasting, superforecasting refers to the consistently accurate probability judgments of a small group of forecasters identified in geopolitical forecasting tournaments. This meaning comes from Mellers (2015) in Perspectives on Psychological Science.[1]

Unit
Recovery means
Measured by

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group4 fields · 4 citationsjingle · one word, four constructs

References

  1. Mellers, B., Stone, E., Murray, T., Minster, A., Rohrbaugh, N., Bishop, M., Chen, E., Baker, J., Hou, Y., Horowitz, M., Ungar, L., & Tetlock, P. (2015). Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 10(3), 267-281. https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691615577794

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