Construct · 1 fields · 1 citations

deep uncertainty: a standalone construct

One name. One construct. A landmark on the map.

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deepuncertainty1 CONSTRUCTDeep uncertaintyLEMPERT · FUTURES STUDIES

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Futures studies

a situation in which parties do not know or cannot agree on the system model, the probability distributions of inputs or how to value outcomes.

In futures studies, deep uncertainty refers to a situation in which parties do not know or cannot agree on the system model, the probability distributions of inputs or how to value outcomes. This meaning comes from Lempert (2003) in Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis.[1]

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Nearby constructs

adaptation pathways1 fields · 1 citationsanchor · a standalone constructagility3 fields · 5 citationsjingle · one word, three constructsflight3 fields · 5 citationsjingle · one word, three constructs

References

  1. Lempert, R., Popper, S., & Bankes, S. (2003). Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis. RAND Corporation. https://doi.org/10.7249/mr1626

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