Construct · 1 fields · 1 citations

estimative probability: a standalone construct

One name. One construct. A landmark on the map.

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Intelligence studies

the expression of analysts' judgments as probabilities or calibrated likelihood words, and how well such estimates convey uncertainty to decision makers.

In intelligence studies, estimative probability refers to the expression of analysts' judgments as probabilities or calibrated likelihood words, and how well such estimates convey uncertainty to decision makers. This meaning comes from Friedman (2012) in Intelligence and National Security.[1]

Unit
Recovery means
Measured by

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Nearby constructs

expression4 fields · 4 citationsjingle · one word, four constructs intelligence6 fields · 14 citationsjingle · one name, six constructs likelihood3 fields · 3 citationsjingle · one word, three constructs

References

Friedman, J. A., & Zeckhauser, R. (2012). Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence. Intelligence and National Security, 27(6), 824-847. https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2012.708275

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