Construct · 1 fields · 1 citations

forecast goodness: a standalone construct

One name. One construct. A landmark on the map.

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Forecasting

the view that a forecast's goodness has three distinct aspects: consistency with the forecaster's judgment, quality against observations, and value to users.

In forecasting, forecast goodness refers to the view that a forecast's goodness has three distinct aspects: consistency with the forecaster's judgment, quality against observations, and value to users. This meaning comes from Murphy (1993) in Weather and Forecasting.[1]

Unit
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Nearby constructs

consistency4 fields · 5 citationsjingle · one word, four constructs judgment2 fields · 4 citationsjingle · one word, two constructs quality6 fields · 13 citationsjingle · one name, six constructs

References

Murphy, A. H. (1993). What Is a Good Forecast? An Essay on the Nature of Goodness in Weather Forecasting. Weather and Forecasting, 8(2), 281-293. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0434(1993)008<0281:wiagfa>2.0.co;2

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