Construct · 1 fields · 1 citations

illusion of validity: a standalone construct

One name. One construct. A landmark on the map.

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Judgment and decision making

unwarranted confidence in a prediction produced by a good fit between the input and the predicted outcome, regardless of how reliable the input is.

In judgment and decision making, illusion of validity refers to unwarranted confidence in a prediction produced by a good fit between the input and the predicted outcome, regardless of how reliable the input is. This meaning comes from Kahneman (1973) in Psychological Review.[1]

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Nearby constructs

nonregressive prediction1 fields · 1 citationsanchor · a standalone construct confidence4 fields · 5 citationsjingle · one word, four constructs good2 fields · 5 citationsjingle · one word, two constructs

References

Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973). On the psychology of prediction. Psychological Review, 80(4), 237-251. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0034747

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