Construct · 2 fields · 2 citations
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In spatial ecology, a pattern is overdispersed when individuals are spaced more evenly than they would be at random: a regular, repulsive arrangement, as when territorial plants or animals hold one another at a distance. Clark and Evans' 1954 Distance to nearest neighbor as a measure of spatial relationships in populations gave the nearest-neighbour index that separates overdispersed (regular) patterns from random and clumped ones. Confusingly, in parts of the ecological literature the word means less clumping and so less variability in local counts, the near-opposite of what the same word denotes in statistics.[1]
In statistical modelling, overdispersion is the condition in which observed data show more variability than the fitted model allows (most often counts whose variance exceeds the Poisson mean, or proportions more variable than the binomial predicts), usually because of unmodelled heterogeneity or clustering. Cox's 1983 Some remarks on overdispersion set out its causes and consequences and how to adjust inference for it. Here overdispersion means more variance, not more even spacing, so a spatially overdispersed (regular) population would in count terms actually be under-dispersed, the same word pointing opposite ways.[2]
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