Construct · 3 fields · 4 citations
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In demography the (net) reproduction rate is the average number of daughters a woman would bear over her lifetime given prevailing age-specific fertility and mortality, and it fixes whether a population replaces itself: above one it grows each generation, below one it shrinks, at one it is stationary. Dublin and Lotka's 1925 On the true rate of natural increase gave the construct its formal footing as a per-generation multiplier derived from the life table. The referent is the expected number of same-sex offspring produced per individual per generation, the quantity that would later be carried over wholesale into disease modelling as R0.[1]
In infectious-disease epidemiology the basic reproduction number R0 is the expected number of secondary cases produced by one typical infectious individual introduced into a wholly susceptible population. It is the threshold parameter of an epidemic: when R0 exceeds one an outbreak can grow, when it is below one chains of transmission die out, and the critical vaccination coverage follows directly from it. Dietz's 1993 The estimation of the basic reproduction number for infectious diseases set out how it is estimated, and Heesterbeek's 2002 history traces the term itself back to the demographers' reproduction rate. It is the same per-generation multiplier as in demography, with a secondary case standing in for an offspring.[2][3]
Population ecologists use the same quantity to describe how a parasite or macroparasite population multiplies: the basic reproductive rate is the average number of offspring (or infective stages) a single invader produces that themselves survive to reproduce in a fully susceptible host population, and it sets whether the parasite can establish. Anderson and May's 1979 Population biology of infectious diseases: Part I built the host–parasite dynamics around this threshold. It is identical in form to the demographic reproduction rate and the epidemiological R0, differing only in what counts as an individual and an offspring.[4]
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